Papers, latest

  1. Hines, O., Dukes, O., Diaz-Ordaz, K., et al. (2022). Demystifying statistical learning based on efficient influence functions. The American Statistician.

  2. Roche, M. P., Oettl, A., & Catalini, C. (2024). Proximate (Co-)Working: Knowledge Spillovers and Social Interactions. Management Science.

  3. Pollard, D. (2011). Some thoughts on Le Cam's statistical decision theory.

  4. Liebersohn, J., & Rothstein, J. (2025). Household mobility and mortgage rate lock. Journal of Financial Economics.

  5. Bhattacharya, S., Fan, J., & Mukherjee, D. (2024). Deep Neural Networks for Nonparametric Interaction Models with Diverging Dimension. Annals of Statistics.

  6. Lemmon, M. L., Roberts, M. R., & Zender, J. F. (2008). Back to the Beginning: Persistence and the Cross‐Section of Corporate Capital Structure. The Journal of Finance.

  7. Shyam-Sunder, L., & C. Myers, S. (1999). Testing static tradeoff against pecking order models of capital structure. Journal of Financial Economics.

  8. Liu, Y., Zhao, X., Kruegel, C., et al. (2025). In-Context Watermarks for Large Language Models.

  9. Frank, M. Z., & Goyal, V. K. (2003). Testing the pecking order theory of capital structure. Journal of Financial Economics.

  10. Chetty, R., & Saez, E. (2004). Dividend Taxes and Corporate Behavior: Evidence from the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut.

  11. Gupta, A., La Forgia, A., & Sacarny, A. (2026). Turbocharging Profits? Contract Gaming and Revenue Allocation in Healthcare. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics.

  12. Nevo, A. (2000). Mergers with Differentiated Products: The Case of the Ready-to-Eat Cereal Industry. The RAND Journal of Economics.

  13. Callaway, B., & Sant’Anna, P. H. (2021). Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods. Journal of Econometrics.

  14. Berry, S., Levinsohn, J., & Pakes, A. (1995). Automobile Prices in Market Equilibrium. Econometrica.

  15. Rajan, R. G., & Zingales, L. (1995). What Do We Know about Capital Structure? Some Evidence from International Data. The Journal of Finance.

  16. Kitagawa, T., & Tetenov, A. (2018). Who Should Be Treated? Empirical Welfare Maximization Methods for Treatment Choice. Econometrica.

  17. Kitagawa, T., Kato, M., Okumura, K., et al. (2024). Adaptive Experimental Design for Policy Learning.

  18. Tetenov, A., Kitagawa, T., & Sakaguchi, S. (2023). Constrained Classification and Policy Learning.

  19. Spiess, J. (2025). Optimal Estimation When Researcher and Social Preferences Are Misaligned. Econometrica.

  20. Karun Adusumilli, A. V. (2026). Designing Persuasive Experiments.

  21. Milone, M., & Perez Silva, A. (2026). On the Efficiency of Inspection Targeting.

  22. Iacovone, L., McKenzie, D., & Meager, R. (2025). Bayesian Impact Evaluation With Informative Priors: An Application to a Colombian Management and Export Improvement Program. Econometrica.

  23. Chetty, R., Friedman, J. N., Saez, E., et al. (2017). Mobility Report Cards: The Role of Colleges in Intergenerational Mobility. Working Paper Series.

  24. Saygin, P. O., Weber, A., & Weynandt, M. A. (2021). Coworkers, Networks, and Job-Search Outcomes among Displaced Workers. ILR Review.

  25. Kormos, M., & Vaart, A. v. d. (2026). Private Rate-Double-Robust Inference.

  26. Robins, J., & Vaart, A. v. d. (2006). Adaptive nonparametric confidence sets. The Annals of Statistics.

  27. Haaland, I., Roth, C., Stantcheva, S., et al. (2025). Understanding Economic Behavior Using Open-Ended Survey Data. Journal of Economic Literature.

  28. Coase, R. H. (1972). Durability and Monopoly. The Journal of Law & Economics.

  29. Igami, M., & Sugaya, T. (2022). Measuring the Incentive to Collude: The Vitamin Cartels, 1990–99. The Review of Economic Studies.

  30. Deming, D. J. (2022). Four Facts about Human Capital. Journal of Economic Perspectives.

  31. Ely, J. C. (2017). Beeps. American Economic Review.

  32. Eliaz, K., & Spiegler, R. (2021). Anabolic Persuasion.

  33. Hadfield-Menell, D., & Hadfield, G. (2018). Incomplete Contracting and AI Alignment.

  34. Fish, S., Gonczarowski, Y. A., & Shorrer, R. I. (2024). Algorithmic Collusion by Large Language Models.

  35. Binsbergen, J. v., Brandt, M., & Koijen, R. (2012). On the Timing and Pricing of Dividends. American Economic Review.

  36. Zhang, W. (2026). Unlocking Density: Impacts of Small-Scale Rezoning on Housing Supply and Property Values in Edmonton. 2026 Annual Meeting, July 26 - 28, 2026, Kansas City, Missouri.

  37. Bhattacharya, V. (2021). An Empirical Model of R&D Procurement Contests: An Analysis of the DOD SBIR Program. Econometrica.

  38. Finkelstein, A., Gentzkow, M., & Williams, H. (2014). Sources of Geographic Variation in Health Care: Evidence from Patient Migration.

  39. Ho, K., & Lee, R. S. (2017). Insurer Competition in Health Care Markets. Econometrica.

  40. Matthew A. Turner, A. H. W. v. d. K. (2014). Land Use Regulation and Welfare. Econometrica.

  41. Danesh, K., Kolstad, J., Parker, W., et al. (n.d.). The Lifecycle Formation of Health Inequality.

  42. Dinerstein, M., Megalokonomou, R., & Yannelis, C. (2022). Human Capital Depreciation and Returns to Experience. American Economic Review.

  43. Mehlhaff, I. D. (2024). A Group-Based Approach to Measuring Polarization. American Political Science Review.

  44. Shor, B., & McCarty, N. (2022). Two Decades of Polarization in American State Legislatures. Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy.

  45. Andreyeva, E., Gupta, A., Ishitani, C., et al. (2024). The Corporatization of Independent Hospitals. Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics.

  46. Kuziemko, I., Meckel, K., & Rossin-Slater, M. (2018). Does Managed Care Widen Infant Health Disparities? Evidence from Texas Medicaid. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy.

  47. Strumpf, K. (2003). Illegal Sports Bookmakers. Working Papers.

  48. Fukui, M., Nakamura, E., & Steinsson, J. (2026). The Commoditization of Labor. Working Paper Series.

  49. Van Houtven, C. H., Coe, N. B., & Skira, M. M. (2013). The effect of informal care on work and wages. Journal of Health Economics.

  50. Coe, N. B., & Zamarro, G. (2011). Retirement effects on health in Europe. Journal of Health Economics.

  51. Coe, N. B., von Gaudecker, H., Lindeboom, M., et al. (2011). The Effect of Retirement on Cognitive Functioning. Health Economics.

  52. Einav, L., Finkelstein, A., Oostrom, T., et al. (2020). Screening and Selection: The Case of Mammograms. American Economic Review.

  53. Aghion, P., & Stein, J. C. (2008). Growth versus Margins: Destabilizing Consequences of Giving the Stock Market What It Wants. The Journal of Finance.

  54. Carroll, G. (2026). Dynamic Incentives in Incompletely Specified Environments. Econometrica.

  55. Daun-Barnett, N., & Escalante, S. (2014). Local Influences of Community College Baccalaureate Legislation on Nursing and Teaching Degree Production in Florida. Community College Journal of Research and Practice.

  56. Anderson, S. E., Plantinga, A. J., & Wibbenmeyer, M. (2023). Inequality in Agency Response: Evidence from Salient Wildfire Events. The Journal of Politics.

  57. Baron, M., Verner, E., & Xiong, W. (2020). Banking Crises Without Panics*. The Quarterly Journal of Economics.

  58. Russell, J., Rajendhran, R., Pham, C. M., et al. (2026). StoryScope: Investigating idiosyncrasies in AI fiction. arXiv.org.

  59. Giles, T., Hungerman, D., & Oostrom, T. (2025). Deaths of Despair and the Decline of American Religion. Journal of the European Economic Association.

  60. Oostrom, T. (2024). Funding of Clinical Trials and Reported Drug Efficacy. Journal of Political Economy.

  61. Carril, R., & Duggan, M. (2020). The Impact of Industry Consolidation on Government Procurement: Evidence from Department of Defense Contracting. Journal of Public Economics.

  62. Borusyak, K., Hull, P., & Jaravel, X. (2025). A Practical Guide to Shift-Share Instruments. Journal of Economic Perspectives.

  63. Sacks, D. W., Hollingsworth, A., Nguyen, T., et al. (2021). Can policy affect initiation of addictive substance use? Evidence from opioid prescribing. Journal of Health Economics.

  64. Greaney, B. (2026). Housing Constraints and Spatial Misallocation: Comment. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics.

  65. Dvorkin, M., & Greaney, B. (2025). The geography of wealth: shocks, mobility, and precautionary savings. Working Papers.

  66. Fonseca, J., & Liu, L. (2024). Mortgage Lock‐In, Mobility, and Labor Reallocation. The Journal of Finance.

  67. Miao, J., & Xing, H. (2024). Dynamic discrete choice under rational inattention. Economic Theory.

  68. Diekmann, A. (1993). Cooperation in an asymmetric volunteer's dilemma game theory and experimental evidence. International Journal of Game Theory.

  69. Kaaronen, R. O., Walsh, M. J., Henrich, A. K., et al. (2024). A global cross-cultural analysis of string figures reveals evidence of deep transmission and innovation. Journal of The Royal Society Interface.

  70. Kao, J. (2025). Information Disclosure and Competitive Dynamics: Evidence from the Pharmaceutical Industry. Management Science.

  71. Roche, M. P. (2020). Taking Innovation to the Streets: Microgeography, Physical Structure, and Innovation. The Review of Economics and Statistics.

  72. Gentzkow, M., Kelly, B., & Taddy, M. (2019). Text as Data. Journal of Economic Literature.

  73. Green, B., & Leo, G. (2026). LLMs Do Not Emulate Populations.

  74. Weesie, J., & Franzen, A. (1998). Cost Sharing in a Volunteer's Dilemma.

  75. Halvorsen, E., Hubmer, J., Ozkan, S., et al. (2026). Why Are the Wealthiest So Wealthy? New Longitudinal Empirical Evidence and Implications for Theories of Wealth Inequality. Econometrica.

  76. Myers, C., & Hooper, E. (2026). Is the iPhone Birth Control? Causal Evidence from AT&T’s 2007–2011 Carrier Monopoly.

  77. Cunningham, F. S., & Ven Bruusgaard, K. (2026). Escalate to Survive? Nuclear First Use in Contemporary Great Power Conflict. International Security.

  78. Ho, K., & Lee, R. S. (2026). Contracting Over Pharmaceutical Formularies and Rebates. Econometrica.

  79. Ou, Y., Wang, Y., Xu, Y., et al. (2026). Identifying the Periodicity of Information in Natural Language. Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers).

  80. Obermeyer, Z., Powers, B., Vogeli, C., et al. (2019). Dissecting racial bias in an algorithm used to manage the health of populations. Science.

  81. Chetty, R., Hendren, N., Kline, P., et al. (2014). Where is the land of Opportunity? The Geography of Intergenerational Mobility in the United States *. The Quarterly Journal of Economics.

  82. Doepke, M., Sorrenti, G., & Zilibotti, F. (2019). The Economics of Parenting. Annual Review of Economics.

  83. Alkema, L., Raftery, A. E., Gerland, P., et al. (2011). Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries. Demography.

  84. Goldin, C. (2014). A Grand Gender Convergence: Its Last Chapter. American Economic Review.

  85. Bleemer, Z., & Rothstein, J. (2026). The Meritocratic Consensus and Stratification in Higher Education.

  86. Ursu, R., Seiler, S., & Honka, E. (2025). The sequential search model: A framework for empirical research. Quantitative Marketing and Economics.

  87. Spence, M. (1973). Job Market Signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics.

  88. Grossman, M. (1972). On the Concept of Health Capital and the Demand for Health. Journal of Political Economy.

  89. Bleakley, H., & Chin, A. (2004). Language Skills and Earnings: Evidence from Childhood Immigrants. The Review of Economics and Statistics.

  90. Kennedy, E. H. (2022). Semiparametric doubly robust targeted double machine learning: a review.

  91. Takatsu, K., & Kuchibhotla, A. K. (2025). Honest Inference for Stochastic Optimization.

  92. Gandhi, A., Navarro, S., & Rivers, D. A. (2020). On the Identification of Gross Output Production Functions. Journal of Political Economy.

  93. Cazorla, B. P., Cabello, J., Reyes, A., et al. (2023). A Remote-Sensing-Based Dataset to Characterize the Ecosystem Functioning and Functional Diversity in the Biosphere Reserve of the Sierra Nevada (Southeastern Spain). Earth System Science Data.

  94. Barrette, E., Dafny, L., & Shen, K. (2023). Do Policies to Increase Access to Treatment for Opioid Use Disorder Work? American Journal of Health Economics.

  95. Sraer, D., & Thesmar, D. (2023). How to Use Natural Experiments to Estimate Misallocation. American Economic Review.

  96. Chetty, R. (2009). Sufficient Statistics for Welfare Analysis: A Bridge Between Structural and Reduced-Form Methods. Annual Review of Economics.

  97. Arcidiacono, P., & Miller, R. A. (2011). Conditional Choice Probability Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models With Unobserved Heterogeneity. Econometrica.

  98. Magnac, T., & Thesmar, D. (2002). Identifying Dynamic Discrete Decision Processes. Econometrica.

  99. Hotz, V. J., & Miller, R. A. (1993). Conditional Choice Probabilities and the Estimation of Dynamic Models. The Review of Economic Studies.

  100. Budish, E., Roin, B. N., & Williams, H. (2015). Do Firms Underinvest in Long-Term Research? Evidence from Cancer Clinical Trials. American Economic Review.

  101. Särkkä, S., & García-Fernández, Á. F. (2021). Temporal Parallelization of Bayesian Smoothers. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control.

  102. Banerjee, S., & Lin, P. (2003). Downstream R&D, raising rivals’ costs, and input price contracts. International Journal of Industrial Organization.

  103. Gray, C., Alpert, A., & Sood, N. (2026). Disadvantaging Rivals: Vertical Integration in the Pharmaceutical Market. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics.

  104. Alpert, A., Powell, D., & Pacula, R. L. (2018). Supply-Side Drug Policy in the Presence of Substitutes: Evidence from the Introduction of Abuse-Deterrent Opioids. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy.

  105. Alpert, A., Evans, W. N., Lieber, E. M. J., et al. (2021). Origins of the Opioid Crisis and its Enduring Impacts. The Quarterly Journal of Economics.

  106. Alsan, M., & Wanamaker, M. (2017). Tuskegee and the Health of Black Men. The Quarterly Journal of Economics.

  107. Lieber, K. A., & Press, D. G. (2017). The New Era of Counterforce: Technological Change and the Future of Nuclear Deterrence. International Security.

  108. Antolin-Diaz, J., & Rubio Ramírez, J. (2026). Attention-based Vector Autoregressions.

  109. Rust, J., & Rothwell, G. (1995). Optimal Response to a Shift in Regulatory Regime: The Case of the US Nuclear Power Industry. Journal of Applied Econometrics.

  110. Rust, J. (1987). Optimal Replacement of GMC Bus Engines: An Empirical Model of Harold Zurcher. Econometrica.

  111. Abaluck, J., Caceres Bravo, M., Hull, P., et al. (2021). Mortality Effects and Choice Across Private Health Insurance Plans. The Quarterly Journal of Economics.

  112. Hoynes, H., Schanzenbach, D. W., & Almond, D. (2016). Long-Run Impacts of Childhood Access to the Safety Net. American Economic Review.

  113. Chetty, R., & Hendren, N. (2018). The Impacts of Neighborhoods on Intergenerational Mobility I: Childhood Exposure Effects*. The Quarterly Journal of Economics.

  114. Halac, M., & Yared, P. (2025). A Theory of Fiscal Responsibility and Irresponsibility. Journal of Political Economy.

  115. Ang, A., & Piazzesi, M. (2003). A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables. Journal of Monetary Economics.

  116. Krieger, J. L. (2021). Trials and Terminations: Learning from Competitors’ R&D Failures. Management Science.

  117. Catalini, C. (2018). Microgeography and the Direction of Inventive Activity. Management Science.

  118. Lee, S., Kim, M., Hong, S., et al. (2026). CLEAR: Cross-Lingual Enhancement in Retrieval via Reverse-training. Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers).

  119. Leo, G., & Van Der Linden, M. (2026). Competing for Priorities in School Choice. Journal of Public Economic Theory.

  120. Healy, P. J., & Leo, G. (2026). Which experiments test a model? Journal of Economic Theory.

  121. Kim, D. H., & Orphanides, A. (2012). Term Structure Estimation with Survey Data on Interest Rate Forecasts. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

  122. Serna, N. (2025). Exogenous Exits, Market Structure, and Equilibrium Contracts in Health Care. American Economic Review: Insights.

  123. Wallace, J. (2023). What Does a Provider Network Do? Evidence from Random Assignment in Medicaid Managed Care. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy.

  124. Green, B., Kogan, L., Papanikolaou, D., et al. (2025). Winners and Losers: Competition, Creative Destruction, and Labor Income Risk.

  125. Bruns-Smith, D. (2025). Two-Stage Machine Learning for Nonparametric Instrumental Variable Regression.

  126. Kaplan, G., & Schulhofer‐Wohl, S. (2017). UNDERSTANDING THE LONG‐RUN DECLINE IN INTERSTATE MIGRATION. International Economic Review.

  127. Vaswani, A., Shazeer, N., Parmar, N., et al. (2017). Attention Is All You Need.

  128. Browning, M., Bourguignon, F., Chiappori, P.-A., et al. (1994). Income and Outcomes: A Structural Model of Intrahousehold Allocation. Journal of Political Economy.

  129. Chiappori, P.-A. (1988). Rational Household Labor Supply. Econometrica.

  130. Browning, M., & Chiappori, P. A. (1998). Efficient Intra-Household Allocations: A General Characterization and Empirical Tests. Econometrica.

  131. Solow, R. M. (1957). Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function. The Review of Economics and Statistics.